Note: I will be out of the office Wednesday and Thursday, so no blog post until Friday.
I posted two images below. One shows where heavy storms may develop, and the other shows the wind speeds off the NMM model for the Plains. While that image shows sustained winds, gusts can be as high as 70 mph in the Dakotas into Nebraska and up to 50 mph in Kansas and Iowa.
In the thunderstorm area, the main impact will be damaging winds. With that much momentum, we will probably see a line of storms develop with embedded bow echos and strong winds, perhaps to 65 mph.
I did note in the video that the GFS model continues to show a hurricane hitting Florida after day 10. While it's very far out there, it's still not out of the question that it can happen. There is a big high coming down, and big highs can help spin up storms this time of the year. It will be interesting to see if the Euro will pick up on the storm as we get closer to the time of the event.
This will be an active day for severe weather with storms in the East and High Plains.
Heavy storms today across western Texas and the Ohio Valley. Video, I talk about how the pattern is going to change
The weather will be severe across the Plains this weekend as thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and flooding rains develop.
Severe storms will develop across the eastern Carolina's today. Active severe weather pattern in the Plains this weekend.
Pattern continues to produce storms across Texas and the High Plains into the Holiday weekend. Eastern Carolina's get hit Thursday.
High Plains get hit again with heavy rains, severe storms and even snow. The weather should calm down later tomorrow.