Commentary
The storm going through the Dakotas is going to wind up and produce a windblown snow from eastern North Dakota into northern Minnesota and far western Ontario. Winds will be gusting over 40 mph, and the snow, which will be heavy and wet, will be plastered over everything. I think some areas will see up to 6 inches of snow with roads becoming snow covered and slick. Even the high country of western Montana and Wyoming will see heavy snows with over 6 inches in some of the higher locations.
The cold air following the storm will plunge south and east. I know some of the models have been showing snow later in the weekend across parts of the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast. I think it's a little early in the season for snow despite what the models are showing. The boundary layer temps are not cold enough yet even though the upper-level temps where the snow develops will be cold enough for snow. What happens is the snowflakes fall through a warm boundary layer and just melt into rain. Soon folks, soon it will be snow season....

We are going into a five- to seven-day period of severe weather which will include tornadoes. We could see over 100 reports of tornadoes.
Latest map on the severe weather areas this weekend into Monday. Monday could be the big day.
Marginal severe weather the rest of the week, but the weekend could turn ugly in the Plains as the tornadoes return.
Tornadoes remain low but that may change this weekend.
More severe weather today into Saturday in the form of hail and damaging winds.
Storms will produce hail and strong winds today and Friday. Maybe a tornado or two in Texas.
Henry Margusity
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