I hope the map tells the story of what is about to happen this weekend. The severe storms may do a lot of damage, and if tornadoes occur, they will occur across eastern Texas into Louisiana and Arkansas. Wind damage could be widespread all the way through the Ohio Valley due to the very strong jet aloft and 70-knot low-level jet.
Snow will be heavy, and we may see snow rates of 1-2 inches per hour with thunder and lighting.
I see on the new GFS the storm around Jan. 1 is even better looking. The NAO is not crashing yet but despite that, we may see a storm attacking a fresh high that bridges across the Northeast. The result could be a heavy snowstorm New Year's Eve.
The moonson will bring some nasty weather to the Southwestern part of the country.
Watching the system in the Gulf of Mexico for development. Probably a small chance.
Heat builds into the East while the rain continues for the Pacific Northwest.
Erika will have many issues this weekend includng tracking over the islands with big mountains.
Erika will track into the Bahamas and may intensify early next week. Track could bring it close to the U.S.