Thursday, 11:50 a.m.
The warm surge of recent days continued on Wednesday, with temperatures reaching well into the 80s across much of the interior mid-Atlantic:
Much of New England did not cash in on that warmth yesterday, especially eastern sections, with overcast, grey skies and some form of rain and drizzle that kept temperatures generally in the 50s.
The East won't be that warm today, and the cooling trend will continue right into the weekend due to the development of a potent storm over southeastern New England Saturday. This is a storm that is going to make for a pretty miserable start to the long holiday weekend in most of New England into eastern New York state and down into New Jersey, if not the Poconos in northeastern Pennsylvania. And Sunday looks like it will be no gem, either, with clouds, wind and more rain. And dare I say it, even some wet snow in the high ground of eastern New York state and Vermont, perhaps even as far south as the highest elevations of the Berkshires? Strange, indeed!
Here's the Saturday afternoon forecast from the 12z 23 May NAM model:
The air aloft is going to get mighty chilly over time, cold enough that some high elevation snow will be possible in the Adirondacks and Catskills over to the Green Mountains, and perhaps even the highest elevations of the Berkshires, too. Even if the snow doesn't amount to anything, it will clearly rain throughout the region over the next several days, with the best hope of seeing some sun not until Memorial Day itself. Even then, it will still be rather windy and cool, with much of northern New England stuck in the clouds with lingering rain showers. Not exactly a beautiful start to the summer season in my humble opinion.
Where it does clear farther west across upstate New York and Pennsylvania, frost is once again a real concern Friday night and Saturday night, and maybe even Sunday night in a few places. The frost concern actually begins tonight across the Midwest and continues tomorrow night in parts of the Ohio Valley.
I don't think we should be calling this the "Year Without a Summer" at this point. It's not too far beyond the normal last date of frost, but it is getting really, really late.
If we can get through the Memorial Day weekend, then things will take a decided turn for the warmer later next week. In fact, it would not surprise me to see temperatures reaching 90 in parts of the region by next Friday, or, more likely, Saturday. It all gives more credence to the quote attributed to Mark Twain: 'If you don't like the weather in New England now, just wait a few minutes...'
So, if you don't like the heat and humidity, just wait. It'll get cooler. MUCH cooler. Or, if you don't like wind and rain, hang on, warmth will return late next week.
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