Tuesday, 11:30 a.m.
The most recent surge of heat and humidity - and yes, I will call it both after what I experienced on Maryland's eastern shore Friday into Monday morning - is now gone. A cold front pushed steadily across New England and the mid-Atlantic states yesterday, erasing the 80s warmth with dew points that were well into the 60s to near 70 degrees - awfully high for so late in the year! Showers and a few strong thunderstorms accompanied the front as it passed, with numerous instances of wind damage from Virginia to Maine:
Quite a bit of rain was tied to the frontal passage all the way down into the Carolinas, with many locations picking up between 1 and 2 inches of rain. In the Carolinas, there were some locations with over 3 inches of rain, with more on the way due to a storm off the northeast coast of Florida at this hour:
As storms go, this will not become a 'hybrid howler,' but it is kicking up quite a bit of wind from the Delmarva Peninsula all the way down the East Coast this morning, and seas of 3 to 6 feet are common offshore, with up to 9-foot seas off Cape Hatteras. This storm will crawl north and northeast over the next few days, keeping the East Coast cool, cloudy, windy and wet all week long.
The model debate at this point is just how far north will the storm come this week, and just how far inland will it rain? And that is something that won't easily be answered for a couple of days, partly because the storm will be trapped underneath a quickly rebuilding upper-level ridge. Look at the projected 500mb flow for tomorrow evening:
The flow around the storm will be weak, and as a result, the storm will move slowly, and at times meander. Furthermore, the contrast from one side of the storm that is fairly impressive now will be gone in a couple of days. Instead of working with the tropical air over the Atlantic and the cool, dry air over the Appalachians, there will be less of a thermal distinction later this week between the two air masses, thus the storm won't have anything to really grow on.
Frankly, I'm glad I was along the Eastern Shore this past weekend. It was warm and summerlike, and I enjoyed a fabulous ride at the Seagull Century out of Salisbury, Md. There wasn't as much wind as I was used to in doing that ride in previous years, and while I was spent at the end from averaging just under 20 miles an hour, you can see I was still smiling:
Naturally, I sported the pink in support of Breast Cancer Awareness, and I even did a little free demo for SkirtSports.com as one of their 'Champions.' (Feel free to ask!) Once done with, I spent the rest of the time soaking up the sun, camping at the beach and seeing many of the wild ponies on Assateague Island:
Had that ride been today, or especially tomorrow or Thursday, it would have been a much less enjoyable time!
Several storms are going to be tracking across the country between now and the end of next week, with still some snow potential with at least two of the storms.
Storms will cross the country between now and Christmas, but the chances of a White Christmas are fading for many places in the East with time.
Two storms still have the potential to bring a white Christmas to areas that are currently snowless from the northern Plains and Midwest to the Northeast.
Two storms will track across the country between now and Christmas that could deliver parts of the country snow in time for a white Christmas.
Heavy rain is pounding California today, with flooding and mudslides. The storm in New England continues spreading snow across Upstate New York and parts of Pennsylvania.
A powerful storm over southeastern New England will continue impacting the Northeast into the weekend, while a series of storms are poised to bring heavy to California.