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Scientists Project Ice Free Period in the Arctic by 2054

July 18, 2013; 12:46 PM ET

Under a high greenhouse emissions scenario, the Arctic could be ice-free during the month of September by the years of 2054 to 2058, according to new research published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.

There are also some experts who think that this ice-free period could occur within the next 20 years.

September is typically the end of the melt season in the Arctic and when the sea ice reaches its lowest extent.

Image courtesy of the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

The research team, led by Jiping Liu from SUNY Albany used computer simulation and sea ice measurements to reach their conclusion.

Based on historical sea ice data from 1979-2011, the team estimated that the Arctic sea ice extent would fall 1.7 million sq/km in the next 40 years.

The team also used a statistical method which also produced a similar ice-free timing.


You can read more about this study from

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