Climate Change

Share |

Arctic Sea Ice Update and Extent Forecasts

July 10, 2014; 6:10 PM

The seasonal rate of sea ice loss in the Arctic during the month of June was fairly normal, though it accelerated toward the end of the month, according to the experts at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).

Decrease in Arctic sea ice extent since March compared to the last 5 years and the 1981-2010 average. Image courtesy of the NSIDC.

As you can see, we are currently running in between 2011 and 2013.

Below is the most recent Arctic Sea Ice minimum Outlook from the Sea Ice Prediction Network. The Outlook includes forecasts from all types of sources.

As you can see, the median of the forecasts is close to 4.7 million sq/km extent for the September minimum. The September 2013 minimum was 5.4 million sq/km, while the record low minimum set in 2012 was just over 3.6 million sq/km. The 1981-2010 average is 6.5 million sq/km.

There will be an update later this month.

Latest Arctic Sea Ice volume anomaly and trend from PIOMAS.


Improved coverage of Arctic ice thickness.

The U.S. Navy's Ofice of Naval Research (ONR) recently deployed three clusters of mass balance buoys on the sea ice in the Beaufort Sea at three different latitudes. The image below shows the changes in air temperature, ice depth/temperature and water depth/temperature at those locations from March to June 2014. Clearly, this type of data will be very useful for researchers and will improve modeling forecasts.

There has been a dramatic loss of summer ice in the Beaufort Sea in recent years due to a loss of thicker, multi-year sea ice.


Also, feel free to comment on the current story about the recent change of the warmest month for the U.S., which is on our front page from our partner Live Science....Change in Hottest U.S. Month isn't a Conspiracy: Here's Why

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or


Comments left here should adhere to the Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Climate Change

  • The Warmest June on Record

    July 21, 2014; 3:58 PM ET

    According to NOAA, last month was the warmest June on record globally going back to 1880.

  • The State of the Climate

    July 18, 2014; 12:54 PM ET

    The latest climate indicators clearly show that the planet is warming.

  • The Mariginal Ice Zone Program

    July 16, 2014; 5:54 PM ET

    The Marginal Ice Zone Program was formed to help scientists have a much better understanding of physics that control sea ice breakup and melt in and around the ice edge.

  • Arctic Sea Ice Update and Extent Forecasts

    July 10, 2014; 6:10 PM ET

    The latest on the annual loss of sea ice in the Arctic and a look at the latest forecasts for the minimum extent, which normally occurs in September.

About This Blog

Climate Change
In the Climate Change Blog, you will find links to the latest research, commentary by experts with various points of view on all aspects of global climate change.