It's been the pattern of the winter since the beginning of January from California into the Southwest. Every once in a while, there is a decent storm bringing rain and snow that makes the news. We had another pretty good one last Friday into Saturday. However, these storms have been too infrequent and generally been followed by day after day of dry weather lasting a week or longer. Guess what? We are in another one of these long stretches.
The latest computer models show that there is very little chance of precipitation through the weekend and even into the middle of next week for most all of California through the Southwest states. Not a drip of rain nor a flake of snow. Though long-range models are always suspect the farther you go out, there is virtually no doubt in my mind that through the coming weekend it will stay dry. Odds are that the models are right early next week as well. The chart below shows the amount of water wrapped up in the snowpack and how it compares to normal. Not good numbers.
This gives much room for optimism of a late-season reprieve from the lack of snowpack and water. This is especially true in the critical agricultural area of California that needs that snowpack for the long dry season coming up.
If you are in the Northwest, there will be the occasional rain maker, but none of these storms are anything out of the ordinary and will contain relatively light precipitation amounts as each moves through. Snow levels will remain higher than normal through the weekend as well.
One other note for the week. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will be challenging records in place for the Central Valley of California to south and west of the Southern California mountains. Temperatures in part of the LA Basin could get to near 90 in the hottest spots.
As of the end of June there had been no named storms in the Eastern Pacific basin.
This is some serious and dangerous heat. Outdoor activity is just not at all recommended during the daytime.
A strong ridge of high pressure in the West brings the highest heat of the season so far to a large area.
Combine the cold with the wind and some precipitation and there is a real danger of hypothermia.
Any shower and thunderstorm can contain heavy downpours, heavy enough to cause temporary, low-lying ponding.
According to all long-range models, the warmest area in North America compared to average will be over the Northwest.