It's been the pattern of the winter since the beginning of January from California into the Southwest. Every once in a while, there is a decent storm bringing rain and snow that makes the news. We had another pretty good one last Friday into Saturday. However, these storms have been too infrequent and generally been followed by day after day of dry weather lasting a week or longer. Guess what? We are in another one of these long stretches.
The latest computer models show that there is very little chance of precipitation through the weekend and even into the middle of next week for most all of California through the Southwest states. Not a drip of rain nor a flake of snow. Though long-range models are always suspect the farther you go out, there is virtually no doubt in my mind that through the coming weekend it will stay dry. Odds are that the models are right early next week as well. The chart below shows the amount of water wrapped up in the snowpack and how it compares to normal. Not good numbers.
This gives much room for optimism of a late-season reprieve from the lack of snowpack and water. This is especially true in the critical agricultural area of California that needs that snowpack for the long dry season coming up.
If you are in the Northwest, there will be the occasional rain maker, but none of these storms are anything out of the ordinary and will contain relatively light precipitation amounts as each moves through. Snow levels will remain higher than normal through the weekend as well.
One other note for the week. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will be challenging records in place for the Central Valley of California to south and west of the Southern California mountains. Temperatures in part of the LA Basin could get to near 90 in the hottest spots.
the water level on this massive reservoir had never been lower than what was reached on July 9.
It has been pretty hot of late in the interior Northwest but even hotter weather looks likely by Sunday and Monday.
It does not usually rain this time of year; when it does, this is usually how it happens.
This is the beginnings of the summer monsoon pattern that typically starts around the first week in July.
This third straight below normal rainfall season just put the final defining stamp on what has become a nearly statewide exceptional drought.
But it seems as if the Tropics are going to come to life again over the weekend and early next week.