, °F

Personalized Forecasts

Featured Forecast

My Favorite Forecasts

    My Recent Locations

    Jim Andrews

    Share |

    Super-typhoon Jelawat

    September 24, 2012; 10:05 AM ET

    Strengthening of Typhoon Jelawat Monday has boosted the mighty storm's status to "Super-typhoon."

    The powerful and extremely dangerous storm has continued to be of great interest to residents of northern Philippines and Taiwan. Those land masses could eventually feel directs effects of Jelawat, depending upon the path it takes.

    Jelawat was not yet a "super-typhoon" at the time (about 0600 UTC Monday) of this impressive visible satellite shot, showing the tight, small eye of a well-wrapped tropical cyclone. Southern Philippines is at the lower left. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

    By 1200 UTC, Monday, top sustained winds about the tightly wrapped storm were reckoned to be 130 knots, or 150 mph, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) said.

    The JTWC define "super-typhoon" as a typhoon having highest 1-minute surface winds of at least 65 m/s (130 knots, 150 mph).

    Late Monday morning, Eastern Time, the eye of Jelawat was located about 435 miles east of Manila, Philippines. Storm movement was towards the north-northwest at 5 mph, according to the JTWC.

    The storm's dangerous winds and heaviest rains were well east of the Philippines. However, interaction of the storm with the monsoon flow was triggering locally excessive rains in southeastern Philippines.

    As it drifts towards the north and west, Jelawat will pose little or no direct threat to land before at least Wednesday, although it will continue to be a very powerful and dangerous storm.

    However, beginning Wednesday, the exact path taken by the storm would be critical for both the Philippines and Taiwan.

    Although the JTWC have forecast a track east of any land through at least Friday, when a position east of Taiwan is expected, some numerical forecast models have shown a more westerly track, passing over or near the northern mainland of the Philippines. Likewise, the more westerly scenarios could imply a late-week threat to Taiwan.

    Elsewhere, Jelawat was joined as of Monday by a second tropical cyclone, the much weaker Tropical Storm Ewiniar.

    Ewiniar was only a minimal tropical storm as of late morning, Eastern Time, having a center about 1,000 miles south of Tokyo, Japan.

    Ewinar was forecast to strengthen by midweek, but without posing any threat to mainland Japan or any other sizable land mass.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com


    Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

    More International Weather Blog

    • Plum Rains to Shift North Next Week

      June 27, 2013; 12:28 PM ET

      The plum rains are known as "meiyu" in China, the "baiyu" or "tsuyu" in Japan, and the "jangma" in the Koreas. The heart of the plum rain season stretches from early June to mid-July, with a tendency to shift south to north across the affected area.

    • Monsoon Rains to Pick Up After a Break

      June 24, 2013; 9:30 AM ET

      In the wake of the mid-June cloudbursts, most of Pakistan to northwestern India last week saw a return to dry, hot weather typical of the weeks leading up to the Monsoon onset. It was as if the Monsoon withdrew to its "normal" position for the latter half of June.

    • Heat Wave Bakes Heart of Europe

      June 19, 2013; 8:24 AM ET

      The 38.5 degree C (101 degrees F) reading Tuesday in Ajaccio, Corsica, may have been tops in Europe.

    • Southwest Monsoon Onset Four Weeks Early

      June 16, 2013; 1:33 PM ET

      Monsoon Onset was June 13th, 2013, in Delhi, almost two weeks earlier than average. The June 15th onset at Karachi and Islamabad was more like three week ahead of schedule.

    • Indian Monsoon Surges West, Lags East

      June 13, 2013; 10:00 AM ET

      In Pakistan, hit-or-miss downpours missed the Sindh capital, Karachi. One did hit Pad Idan, where it left 60 mm of rain Wednesday. This was more than 20 times greater than the normal June rainfall.

    • What Is Happening in the Subcontinent?

      June 10, 2013; 1:09 PM ET

      It is still possible that this scenario is over wrought as to the intensity and spread of rain in Pakistan and northwestern India. However, it is the hunch of the present forecaster that some very unusual weather is going to unfold in the Subcontinent during the next week!