Currently, a fairly quiet week across North America, which is a nice break after back-to-back weeks of storms. I, and many others in this office, will take it!
Currently, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) is in its positive phase, which is keeping most of the cold across the north, while a stronger Pacific jet is delivering milder air across southern Canada and into the U.S.
There are some indications that the AO will begin to trend toward the negative phase by the end of the month, which could mean a busier start to December, despite what the ECMWF model says below.
Anyway, here is my latest interpretation of the ECMWF model long-range output that now goes into December.
Update on major eastern storm into the weekend.
Major storm system will bring heavy rain, followed by strong winds, falling temperatures and possible high elevation snow into this weekend over the East.
The 2016/2017 winter forecast for Canada has a snowy look for many.
Early November not looking all that cold, but that could change quickly later in the month.
Update on the two major storm systems approaching the West coast for late this week.
Two significant storms will bring widespread, heavy rain and strong winds to southwest British Columbia later Thursday and again late Saturday.