The area of low pressure out over the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon does look a little more healthy on the satellite loop, but the broad, low-level circulation was still exposed as west to southwesterly winds aloft were causing wind shear and preventing the system from becoming a tropical storm.
Regardless if this does become a depression or weak tropical storm, the main impacts from this will be the heavy rainfall over Florida and gusty coastal winds.
This system will then get drawn northward along the coast Thursday night and Friday then head up toward Nova Scotia on Saturday.
At this point, it looks like steady rain will spread into Nova Scotia and south coastal New Brunswick later Friday night then into PEI by Saturday. The strongest winds will likely remain offshore with this, but still may see some gusts in the 70 km/h range along coastal Nova Scotia on Saturday.
Rain will be the bigger story with potential amounts in the 30-60 mm range, especially over Nova Scotia by the end of Saturday.
A second storm will track up through the Appalachians and will produce light rainfall for parts of Ontario Thursday/Thursday night.
The exact timing and track of this is still in question so things will likely be adjusted as we get closer to the event.
---------- Strong thunderstorms possible for Alberta and Saskatchewan Friday
A weak storm system will clash with incoming warm, unstable air leading to the possibility of some locally strong thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening from Alberta to southwestern Saskatchewan.
As usual, the greatest threats will be strong, straight-line winds and hail.
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My latest thoughts on the weather pattern into next week
When will the cold leave the East? More storms for the West?