Brett Anderson

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Long Range Hints Through May

April 18, 2014; 7:23 AM

The maps below are my latest interpretation of the weekly ECMWF long-range output through mid-May....

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El Nino Watch continues

The latest International Multi-Model Ensemble (IMME) was just released and it projects a healthy El Nino for the September-November 2014 period, which would argue for less hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin, but more in the Pacific.

The IMME map below shows the projected sea-surface temperature anomalies for the August-November period. The large area of red over the equatorial Pacific indicates well above-normal SST's, which is indicative of a possible quick start to El Nino.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

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About This Blog

Brett Anderson
Brett Anderson covers both short-term and long-term weather and storm forecasts for Canada in this blog for AccuWeather.com.