The ECMWF has released their updated computer model seasonal forecast for the summer. I will issue my personal summer forecast for Canada within the next 10 days.
ECMWF model temperature departure forecast.
ECMWF model precipitation departure forecast.
Also, the new ECMWF update still indicates near neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation conditions through the summer.
The ECMWF is also predicting above normal tropical cyclone activity for the Atlantic Basin this year, especially in the Caribbean.
The ECMWF continues to forecast a very hot and dry summer from the U.S. Rockies to the southern and central Plains of the U.S.
This is my latest interpretation of the ECMWF forecast model that now goes out through the middle of May.
What the summer weather pattern might look like under a moderate to strong El Nino.
Weekly long-range forecast model update and a look back at March.
Forecast model updates provide some clues to the coming summer.
Friday afternoon update on the upcoming snow for parts of eastern and Atlantic Canada.
Below is my latest interpretation of weekly ECMWF forecast model update.