The ECMWF has released their updated computer model seasonal forecast for the summer. I will issue my personal summer forecast for Canada within the next 10 days.
ECMWF model temperature departure forecast.
ECMWF model precipitation departure forecast.
Also, the new ECMWF update still indicates near neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation conditions through the summer.
The ECMWF is also predicting above normal tropical cyclone activity for the Atlantic Basin this year, especially in the Caribbean.
The ECMWF continues to forecast a very hot and dry summer from the U.S. Rockies to the southern and central Plains of the U.S.
The overall pattern across North America will have a different look this week compared to what it has been for a large portion of the year.
A look at the potential weather pattern for the next several weeks.
Smoke will continue to be an issue for interior southern BC and Alberta this week but changes in the pattern are looming.
Latest update on the long range into mid-September and a look at the Prairies storm.
Warm and dry conditions will continue to dominate in the West this fall.
Pattern change setting up this weekend into next week as the core of the very warm air shifts eastward into southern Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick.