Tuesday 8 a.m.
This is national pancake day. You may find that interesting food for thought, but the question we have to answer is: how do the next few days stack up? Usually we have some skillet this. In the East, it is a great day to get out of the log cabin.
Where will the weather be best? Places like Frying Pan Shoals, S.C., will be warmer then Maple Shade, N.J. It is not terribly cold in Quebec, but we cannot say the French toast. Out in the central Plains states today, some people could claim they rarely sausage fine weather in the middle of winter.
Today, clouds will usyrup the sky from the Great Lakes through the Northeast. This is not to say the weather will cause a real flap, Jack. Sure, there could be some sprinkles or downy flakes, but it sure beats the long period when the cold wouldn't l'eggo.. when farmers went out to make sure they saw their pigs in blanket.
Meanwhile, a storm will be forming near Oklahoma's panhandle today. We're still waffling on when and how that storm will affect the East Coast. It could drop up to a few inches of snow from parts of the Ohio Valley to New Jersey.
In this video, we follow the European model's path through the coming weekend. The operational version from last night shows the "weekend storm" passing well out to sea. Stay tuned, though.
Meanwhile, in the Northeast, some melting will take place... and conjures up the joys of slush:
When we think about winter storms, the Currier and Ives renditions of the beautiful winterscape often come to mind first... the pristine snow draped across the fields and trees, a stream with snowcapped rocks, a country lane with thin tracks where a car or truck recently passed. It's quite a different scene that greets our gaze this morning. Through the murky membranes of mist, grimy, cinder and salt-saturated slush clumps splash on the windshield, get plastered to the sides of the cars and trucks, spray on pedestrians and add a dimension of dinginess that's undiminished. Slabs and sponges of slushy snow form oozing mounds and ridges that line the roadsides. Windshield wipers will smear the slimy slurry across the glass, each pass of the wipers smoothing the slithery, slippery sludge off to the unreachable grimed-up corners of the impugned pane. Then later, when it dries, you get a nasty reminder when that dusty gruesome grime rubs off on your freshly cleaned coat as you wedge toward your car or truck in a tight parking space.
Although today is rather windy and chilly, it will not be as windy as it was yesterday from Chicago to Buffalo, where winds gusted past 50 mph. This map shows isobars fairly close together. There is more spacing between the lines today than yesterday. The lines in the Northeast are oriented from northwest to southeast, which is line with a chilly flow of air.
Note how the lines are arranged in the Tennessee-North Carolina area. The close spacing over and just northwest of the Appalachians is the signature of cold air being dammed up against the mountains.
A deck of clouds about a half-mile overhead spread westward from the Atlantic to much of the I95 corridor from DC to Boston early this morning. These cloud decks can be a forecaster's nightmare in the spring because ...
The map below the video is one of the GFS solutions for where the southeast storm will be early Saturday. The precipitation is predicted to be farther north than suggested by other models.
It is freezing cold in the Northeast this morning, but this map shows that much more mellow mildness has reached the Plains.
Extensive precipitation straddles both sides of the cold front that was moving through central New York and central Pennsylvania as of mid morning. This radar shows the distribution of rain and snow; some temperatures are added.
The cold front approaching the East shows up quite well in this pressure analysis. Several temperatures are plotted to give you a sense for how much the temperature changes behind the cold front. At Chicago, it went from 60 at 4 a.m. to 39 at 5:19, a 21-degree drop in little more than an hour.
Temperatures on Sunday and Monday will range from the 60s in parts of New England to near 80 in Maryland and Virginia. However, a strong cold front will then trigger and perhaps a few thunderstorms as it ushers in air that will be 30-40 degrees colder than it will be ahead of the cold front.