Elliot Abrams

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True Spring at Last?

April 23, 2013; 9:05 AM ET

Tuesday 10:30 a.m.

Between now and early next week, computer models show the main belt of westerlies shifting northward, especially in the Eastern states. Last night's GFS ensemble predicted that at an elevation of 5,000 feet, the temperature will be just below freezing from Thursday through midday Friday, but then above freezing continuously through at least May 9 (the last step in the model run I was looking at).

That does not mean it will be warm the whole time. Anytime it is cloudy with the flow off the ocean (like today in the I95 corridor), it can be warm aloft but mighty chilly down here where we live. It does appear that most of the Northeast will have a mild weekend.

This map shows a cold front advancing across the Midwest and highlights the easterly flow of moist air from the Atlantic that has kept the morning gray and chill around from Maine to Maryland.

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About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.