Elliot Abrams

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The Blizzard of '13?

February 6, 2013; 7:57 AM ET

Wednesday 8 a.m.

A major storm is likely to develop just off the Middle Atlantic coast on Friday then track northeastward. Most of the computer models show that development, but the details are different. For example, the GFS shows mild air sweeping westward from the Atlantic to hold temperatures above freezing in New York Friday when most of the precipitation is falling. There would be some snow as cold air floods in at the end of the storm. That model also suggests a heavy, wet snow or a snow/rain mix from Providence to Boston. The ECMWF (the European model) looks colder and suggests a mix of rain and snow in NYC changing to snow with more than a foot on Friday night. For Boston, that model suggests an all-out blizzard with 2 feet of snow! This video shows the GFS solution from its 1 a.m. EST run. That does not mean I favor that solution but rather offer a platform for discussing the possibilities.

Here is our preliminary snow accumulation map for the Friday/Friday night storm:

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com


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About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.