Tuesday 10:45 a.m.
Today's video shows what should happen between now and the weekend and includes another look at the would-be snow possibility about a week from now. It's way to early to know if the storm will crystallize or the idea turns out to be flaky.
Easier to predict is what happens indoors on Thursday:
Turkeys will finish thawing Thanksgiving morning, then warm in the oven to a high near 190 in the afternoon. The kitchen will turn hot and humid, and if you bother the cook, be ready for a severe squall or a cold shoulder.
During the late afternoon and early evening hours, the cold front of a knife will slice through the turkey and cause it to accumulate 1-2 inches on plates. You can expect this in the cities and also in normally colder outlying areas.
Mashed potatoes will drift across one side while cranberry sauce creates slippery spots on the other, especially if it mixes in as you turn to the green bean casserole. Please pass the gravy.
A weight watch has been issued for the entire area, and we expect intervals of indigestion, with increasing stuffiness around the beltways.
During the evening, the turkey will diminish and taper off to leftovers before dropping to a low of 34 in the refrigerator. Looking ahead to Friday and Saturday: high pressure to eat sandwiches; flurries of leftovers can be expected both days with a 50% chance of scattered soup during the midday hours. We expect a warming trend baste on where soup develops.
However, rainfall is increasing south of New England, and southerly flow aloft should bring rain to Providence, Boston and other parts of New England.
Early this morning, the most concentrated rain was falling in a band from Maryland to southern Michigan.
With a high pressure area over Maine, a low pressure area over western Indiana and an upper-air storm spinning over the western Great Lakes, the stage is set for wet weather in the Middle and North Atlantic states.
This map is a rainfall forecast from the NWS Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center located in State College, PA.
The upper-air flow forecast for this evening shows the trough that helps to support rainfall ahead of the cold front.
After reaching the 80s today from NYC to Boston, it might not be that warm again through much of next week.