Friday 8 a.m.
With a high pressure area parking over the Northeast, our weather is likely to be much the same the next few days and shouldn't change much well into next week. While the sameness will not quite be classified as identicalness or exactness because we will have some changes in the amount of sunshine, one day's appearance will be virtually indistinguishable from the next because of a general similarity from day to day that stays the same and doesn't change much. In addition to the semblance of closeness we'll experience in terms of daily weather changes, we expect it to be chilly at night and typical for this time of year during daytime hours. While in one sense this whole pattern of similarity may be viewed as monotonous or tedious, described as being humdrum or ho-hum, calling it tedious or monotonous is really the same as saying it is something offering little prospect for change or variety. However, in truth many people don't feel that is a negative, and for them the idea that the weather pattern coming up will change very little and offer little in the way of variety, change, alteration or difference is just fine, if it's all the same to them. In a sense, the dry weather pattern will simply continue, one day in close correspondence with the next, each day similar to the one that preceded it, and in many respects, a lot like the way it'll turn out the next day and the day after... a likeness that seems repetitive, repetition that means virtual interchangeability of days, or at least a reasonable approximation, a likeness, if you will, with one day following another in endless succession, day in and day out, day after day and night after night, night after night and day after day, night after day and day after day, each day offering a similarity and congruence with events before and after as far out as we can see.
Today's video looks at how the weather should unfold in the Northeast between today and Thanksgiving, then answers a question: "Snowstorm on the way?"
I am not willing to stick my neck out on when that may be.
Even though the next five or more days may be similar to each other, we know that eventually, winter will be showing its stripes.
Our dog Sam is getting ready by growing additional fur.
Temperatures can go on a real roller-coaster ride.
But the chance of getting much cold air or snow in any time soon is pretty much for the birds.
For the almost 24 hours between 10 a.m. ET Tuesday and 9:20 a.m. ET today, here is a the lightning recap. The dry pattern from the Midwest will now advance across New York and New England.
Cooling aloft and heating moist air closer to the ground should trigger strong thunderstorms from eastern New York and much of New England southwest through parts of the Middle Atlantic states.
The front will move into a region with high humidity as it approaches the I95 corridor tomorrow. This is the basis for SPC's forecast of thunderstorms approaching severe limits tomorrow.
Tropical Storm Colin is caught in the southern stream while the northern stream is helping to send unseasonably cool air out of central Canada.
Then, as the cold front arrives, there may be violent thunderstorms. This map shows the early morning SPC assessment of the severe weather risk on Sunday:
Farther east on Sunday, rain is likely to be more extensive, and there is a severe thunderstorm threat from the Middle Atlantic region on south.