Elliot Abrams

Share |

Sandy Takes Aim

October 26, 2012; 6:06 AM ET

Friday 9 AM

Sandy continues to threaten the Northeast, and in the area where is comes ashore, there will be damaging winds knocking down trees and cutting power, flooding rain and, at the coast, a dangerous storm surge. Time of that is crucial, because we will be close to the time of the full moon, and range between high tide and low tide is greatest then. This map shows the track forecasts of a wide variety of computer models. Why the differences? Each one has its own way of ingesting data and handling the intricate math associated with second order nonlinear differential equations. A big problem is we simply do not have data for every place in the atmosphere.

This video discusses where the storm is heading now, what should happen next, and what some of the effects will be. Unfortunately, this kind of storm can affect millions and cost billions.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

Comments

Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Northeast U.S. Weather Blog

  • Great Lakes and Northeast: Very Warm Through Labor Day

    September 1, 2015; 7:57 AM ET

    Scotty the Dog will be four-months-old in four days. On walks during hot weather, he is quick to seek out shady spots. He has yet to experience any cold weather, but he looks like he will be ready when it arrives (not any time soon!).

  • August Heat and Humidity Sustained Into September

    August 31, 2015; 9:28 AM ET

    Erika's heavy rainfall separated into two areas yesterday. This is the Morehead City, North Carolina, radar, showing an area of heavy rain and thunderstorms that dumped more 4 inches of rain on parts of the coastal Carolinas this morning.

  • Midsummer Heat for the Northeast Next Week

    August 28, 2015; 7:53 AM ET

    Tropical Storm Erika could eventually affect Florida and other sections of the Gulf Coast or Southeast, but for now it poses no threat for the Northeast. This map shows the storm as of early this morning.

  • Northeast: Warmer and More Humid for the Weekend

    August 27, 2015; 10:40 AM ET

    The second concern is Erika. The map below shows what many different models area saying. While there is a good agreement in the short range, the longer-range spread is quite larger, with tracks ...

  • Northeast to Have Some Sun for the Last Weekend of August

    August 26, 2015; 10:32 AM ET

    This picture shows where Erika is. The various models show a track toward Florida with a lot of uncertainty after that. If it does make it to land, then moves slowly (steering forces look weak), it could be a major rain producer.

About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.