Elliot Abrams

Share |

Sandy Takes Aim

October 26, 2012; 6:06 AM

Friday 9 AM

Sandy continues to threaten the Northeast, and in the area where is comes ashore, there will be damaging winds knocking down trees and cutting power, flooding rain and, at the coast, a dangerous storm surge. Time of that is crucial, because we will be close to the time of the full moon, and range between high tide and low tide is greatest then. This map shows the track forecasts of a wide variety of computer models. Why the differences? Each one has its own way of ingesting data and handling the intricate math associated with second order nonlinear differential equations. A big problem is we simply do not have data for every place in the atmosphere.

This video discusses where the storm is heading now, what should happen next, and what some of the effects will be. Unfortunately, this kind of storm can affect millions and cost billions.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

Comments

Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Northeast U.S. Weather Blog

  • Unreasonably Cold

    April 15, 2014; 8:31 AM ET

    Extensive precipitation straddles both sides of the cold front that was moving through central New York and central Pennsylvania as of mid morning. This radar shows the distribution of rain and snow; some temperatures are added.

  • Warm Then Wet Then Colder

    April 14, 2014; 5:41 AM ET

    The cold front approaching the East shows up quite well in this pressure analysis. Several temperatures are plotted to give you a sense for how much the temperature changes behind the cold front. At Chicago, it went from 60 at 4 a.m. to 39 at 5:19, a 21-degree drop in little more than an hour.

  • Northeast Mild Spell to Last Until Early Next Week

    April 11, 2014; 6:24 AM ET

    Temperatures on Sunday and Monday will range from the 60s in parts of New England to near 80 in Maryland and Virginia. However, a strong cold front will then trigger and perhaps a few thunderstorms as it ushers in air that will be 30-40 degrees colder than it will be ahead of the cold front.

  • Longest Mild Spell Since Last Fall on the Way to the Northeast

    April 10, 2014; 10:18 AM ET

    During the early morning hours of April 15, there will be a total lunar eclipse visible across North America. This eclipse is the start of a <em>tetrad</em>, a series of four total lunar eclipses over a two-year period. The totality begins at 3:07 a.m. ET, 2:07 a.m. CT, etc.

  • Milder Air on the Way

    April 9, 2014; 6:13 AM ET

    Severe Weather Awareness Week activities are conducted by National Weather Service offices nationwide at various times during the spring. There is a lot of information for everyone (from children to seniors) available online. You can start <a href="http://www.ready.gov/kids/know-the-facts">here</a>:

  • Wet to Dry in the Northeast

    April 8, 2014; 7:08 AM ET

    However, after the warmup, another cold front will move through the Great Lakes and Northeast with at least some rain. This map contains the forecast for Sunday evening.

About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.