Friday 10 a.m.
A chilly northwesterly flow of basically dry weather will affect the I95 corridor this weekend. As a high pressure area settles over New York and New England on Monday and Tuesday, it will still be chilly, but probably less windy with more sunshine. The ECMWF model is leading the way on predicting a northeaster at midweek with snow in the mountains and rain in the big cities. See it here:
The European model has a northeaster on the East Coast Wednesday night. The GFS model has the storm offshore. This map shows the European version.
A personal note: meteorologists are always interested in big storms. However, I never want to root for one or cheer it on. The immense human toll of suffering and disruption of the most basic need to live in safety with enough food and water.. in New York City and surrounding areas... reinforces this.
The storm moving from the Ohio Valley to the Middle Atlantic coast will cause snow and ice, Clearing should follow tomorrow, but another storm should bring snow and ice followed by rain from Maryland to Massachusetts.
Clearing should follow tomorrow, but another storm will cause snow and ice followed by rain from Maryland to Massachusetts late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
The wind will not roar like a lion in the Northeast on Sunday March 1. It certainly won't be lamblike. However, with more cold and snow in the forecast, it might be suitable for this group:
The surface analysis shows to low pressure area off the North Carolina coast, a large cold high pressure area in the northwest corner of the map, and a broad northeasterly flow of cold air between pressure centers. Cold will continue in this whole area through Saturday.
In reaction to this, the flow aloft may become more southwesterly over the Eastern states. This would promote less chill in the Northeast but cause more storminess. The following maps are U.S. model predictions of total snowfall and precipitation from now through next Wednesday.
Is there any warmth in future? The following two maps suggest the answer is yes, but it is only temporary. This map shows projected flow aloft for next Tuesday. If you trace the origin of the air, you see a southwesterly flow of air next Monday (March 2).