Monday 9 a.m.
It has been quite dry recently in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. When it is dry and becomes windy, there is increased danger of wildfires that can spread out of control. Some tragic fires have already occurred.
As an upper-air trough strengthens over the Northeast during the next few days, many places will have a a few showers, but no persistent rainfall is in sight... so the danger will continue. The main effect of the trough will be to set up and maintain a chilly weather pattern for the Great Lakes and Northeast. Downwind from the Great Lakes and into the Appalachians, it will get cold enough for some snow showers. Over the highest terrain, there will be enough to cause slippery conditions.
The video explains how weather features should progress between now and next weekend.
While the Northeast is chilly, there is very warm and humid air in the southern Plains. There is an elevated tornado risk in central and western Oklahoma and north-central Texas, as shown on the following map. A strong Pacific trough will move inland on Wednesday, and some of its energy could help spawn severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the South Central states later in the week.
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An extensive lake-effect snow outbreak will occur with the coming cold.
Street flooding in some of the heavier rain
Such is the stuff that generates rumors, worries or snowstorm dreams that later turn out to be unfounded.
As we close out November and start December this week, the Northeast will have two rounds of rain and a warmup.