Today's video starts with a look at a storm off the North Carolina coast, then winds through the twists and turns of the next week's changeable weather patterns.
THE CHAMELEON MONTH OF MARCH
This is the chameleon month of March. Always searching for a sense of identity, its days stagger through punches of waning winter, dance with the sunlit caresses of coming spring and hide behind thick clouds through the wind-swept battles between the two.
The midday sky looks brighter now, but the sun sneaks out of view before the dinner dishes can be cleared. Winter's cloak of white melts down to oozing mud and rushing streams. The crocus and daffodil bravely blossom, but wiser plants bide their time til a less treasonous season. Dark December, Jailer January and Fortress February no longer hold the keys around here. We peer out and the door to winter's dungeon creaks open.
And yet, rather than seizing this moment of weakness, rather than racing headlong into warmer times, spring prefers the test-market approach: try a hint of south wind here, a puffy cumulus there; teasing breezings between the freezings. Even the south wind has ragged, chilly edges on many a March day; subtle hints of warmth vanish all too quickly in the gathering dim of dusk.
Like a 12 year-old on Saturday morning, March is full of hope. However, Mother Nature and Old Man Winter rule the household. One day, with icewater in its veins, the northwest wind can blast in from the still frozen hinterlands of the Arctic north.
However, if the south wind quickens, there's usually some double-agent storm waiting in the wings, a two-faced wanderer of the westerlies dealing dreadful thunderstorms on its south side and freezing gales with drifting snow to its north. As storms approach, the day carries a hint of mildness, but the fading sun gives ground to a milky veil that would all too readily drop snow but for the want of a few degrees.
Through it all we mortals whose days are most surely numbered somehow yearn for them to pass ... so sweet the lure of prospective spring: its meadows splashed with gold, its captivating sunshine, its renewal of earthly life. The set changes each March, and the players follow different scripts, but it's really the same show. No matter how many times we see it in life, we're always ready for it again. For as much as March means memories of dark, chilly winter, it surely means brighter and better times are just ahead.
that short wave is what the models latch onto in bringing a cold front through the Northeast Wednesday night and Thursday. This would bring noticeable cooling to the Northeast late in the week.
Labor Day is a week from Monday. The computer model used here, the GFS ensemble mean, suggests the weather will favor outdoor late summer activities across the Great Lakes and Northeast:
In response to heating at ground level and a weak cold front approaching from the west, showers and locally strong thunderstorms should develop across northern Ohio this afternoon.
... much greater interest is being generated on threats and rumors about tropical storms. It is worthwhile to read Dan Kottlowski's authoritative reports on this. Here is a copy of his map from this morning:
The tropical Atlantic shows signs of life in the storm development department. Dan Kottlowski's expert discussion suggests the third storm (which could be Hermine) of current concern is one that could head to the Bahamas, Florida, the Gulf or ???
A large high pressure area centered just south of Chicago will furnish a northwesterly of pleasantly cool and dry air to the eastern Great Lakes and all of the Northeast today into Tuesday.