Elliot Abrams

Share |

Northeast: Fine Weather Alternates With Rounds of Showers

June 3, 2014; 7:46 AM ET

Tuesday morning

Here is today's video forecast. With each weather system changing character as it moves, it's a good idea to keep checking back for the latest info from AccuWeather.com.

With very warm air across the southern Plains and cool air farther north, the setup favors the development of showers and thunderstorms in the contested zone. As a series of cool air pockets aloft moves over this zone, a new batch of storms takes shape with each disturbance. The result is heavy rain, with the most at locations with multiple events. This map shows one-week rainfall totals from last night's ECMWF (European) mode. Note how varied the prediction is for the Middle Atlantic coast. Only a small change in the size or track of any disturbance during this period could produce a very different result.

On the south side of each new thunderstorm-producing disturbance, violent thunderstorms will erupt.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com


Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Northeast U.S. Weather Blog

  • Stormy Day in the Northeast

    November 26, 2014; 8:31 AM ET

    Along I95, rain ruled through midmorning while marshmallows of wet snow changed the gray November landscape to winter white very fast inland. I told Sam The Dog about the snow before it started in the middle of Pennsylvania. He was taking a wait-and-see attitude.

  • Northeast: Snow, Sleet, Rain to Cause Travel Trouble

    November 25, 2014; 7:44 AM ET

    The profile here is for New York City at 1 p.m. tomorrow. We see it is forecast to be just above freezing near the ground. Will big wet flakes make to the ground or will they melt into rain drops? Or will there be a mix? It's a very close call call.

  • In Store Next: Winter Rollback

    November 21, 2014; 8:12 AM ET

    Looking at next week, the GFS ensemble spaghetti plot of upper air winds shows how much agreement there is among members of the ensemble (same model running multiple times using slightly different starting assumptions). The maps are from next Tuesday, Nov. 25, and Thanksgiving Day, Nov. 27. There is good agreement on the first map, but a lot of spread two days later.

  • Great Lakes and Northeast: Milder Air Coming

    November 20, 2014; 11:13 AM ET

    The location of lake-effect snow bands is tightly controlled by geography, topography and wind. From this pressure analysis, we see why the wind favored heavy snow staying south of the hardest hit Buffalo snow belts earlier today.

About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.