Tuesday 10 a.m.
There's quite a contrast in conditions between Michigan and Massachusetts. At mid-morning, Detroit had some sunshine with south to southwest winds bringing in milder air. Meanwhile, in the I-95 corridor from Boston to Baltimore, dreariness greeted the dawn and dampness lingered. The surface pressure pattern helps explain this. Along the East Coast, the flow is coming from the Atlantic. The isobars bend around over the Appalachians, and the flow west of there is from southwest to northeast. The lines become closer together as you move north through Michigan, and the wind increases to match that. Finally, the isobars at the far upper-left corner of the map peel away from their tight packing and assume more of a west to east orientation. The change occurs along a cold front that will speed to the east and off the New England coast tomorrow night.
This video explores the current situation and how things should progress for the rest of the week and this weekend.
A deck of clouds about a half-mile overhead spread westward from the Atlantic to much of the I95 corridor from DC to Boston early this morning. These cloud decks can be a forecaster's nightmare in the spring because ...
The map below the video is one of the GFS solutions for where the southeast storm will be early Saturday. The precipitation is predicted to be farther north than suggested by other models.
It is freezing cold in the Northeast this morning, but this map shows that much more mellow mildness has reached the Plains.
Extensive precipitation straddles both sides of the cold front that was moving through central New York and central Pennsylvania as of mid morning. This radar shows the distribution of rain and snow; some temperatures are added.
The cold front approaching the East shows up quite well in this pressure analysis. Several temperatures are plotted to give you a sense for how much the temperature changes behind the cold front. At Chicago, it went from 60 at 4 a.m. to 39 at 5:19, a 21-degree drop in little more than an hour.
Temperatures on Sunday and Monday will range from the 60s in parts of New England to near 80 in Maryland and Virginia. However, a strong cold front will then trigger and perhaps a few thunderstorms as it ushers in air that will be 30-40 degrees colder than it will be ahead of the cold front.