A trough aloft with chilly air will help to spawn showers and thunderstorms across the Northeast during the first part of the weekend. Warmer air will show up across the Great Lakes tomorrow, the Appalachians and Middle Atlantic states Sunday, and New England on Monday. However, as a cold front approaches from the northwest on Monday, a few thunderstorms can break out from northeastern New York state through New England. Here is the video for today.
For Memorial Day, the weather is important. But, so is this:
With the coming of Memorial Day weekend, the traditional summer holiday season gets underway. From the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the smashing breakers on the Northeast coast, dry weather will be the rule, though showers will dot the Northeast through tomorrow. The Carolinas and Virginia will be sunny.
While we enjoy our holiday, we hope none of the atmosphere's battles will be waged at our expense. In the Plains and Gulf states, bayonets of lightning, cannon shots of thunder, volleys of hail, and oceans of rain from battleship gray clouds will affect the area as well as testify to the atmospheric wars waged across our country since before our time.
And so too have real wars, domestic and foreign, taking their grim toll of those whose best times seemed to be just out ahead and down the road. Those brave women and men won't walk in the warm winds with us this Memorial Day weekend, but their memory rides the currents. Others are still with us, but the are injured. For them and their families, the pain and hardships do not end with their return home.
Memorial Day weekend can make memories. At this one time of year, those memories close ranks with the dusty legions of hazy, time-dimmed recollections we have of those who kept freedom alive for us. Their spirit lives in each of us as we cherish the freedom that allows us to do as we please in America this holiday weekend. Silently, they march with us as we celebrate this land, its people, and all the things we hold dear in our own time, and for all time. We can only work to make our lives be a shining light to those who follow.
Elliot Abrams 5/14
On a cheery note, Sam the Dog waits to play ball. Sam is 15 years old this year but still moves pretty well when chasing a tennis ball. Sam has become deaf during the past year. One consolation is thunder no longer frightens him.
Here's a cool fact: even when Death Valley, California, has a temperature of 110 or 120 degrees, you only have to go up a little more than 3.5 miles to find temperatures at or below freezing.
It appears the dry comfortable air mass now in the Northeast will be replaced by a humid flow from the South Atlantic states for the coming weekend. An upper-air forecast map sequence in the video shows how this could happen. The following map shows the predicted flow from Florida to New Jersey Friday night.
This map shows the pressure analysis for the Northeast and Great Lakes. The gusty flow on the west side of the low pressure area adds a real autumn feel to the air.
Since individual lines and clusters of thunderstorms have limited life spans and change character constantly, forecasting whether it will or won't rain at any one time this weekend is difficult at best. One solution is to have your tablet or phone available with the AccuWeather.com app so you can see where all the storms are at the times when it concerns you the most.
It does look warmer for the weekend, but every time the warm air tries to extend into New England it gets chopped down. There could be more showers at times Sunday and early next week as forest we can tell. If any forecast gives you a headache, why not take a friend's advice: Take two aspen; sequoia in the morning.
This map from 5AM ET shows the cold front that is continuing toward this Northeast and Middle Atlantic states. Temperatures stayed up in the 70s all night ahead of the front but it turned noticeably cooler after the front moved through.