Thursday 9 a.m.
On today's video, we look at how and why weather features should move from today through early next week. There is also a GFS forecast map that shows at least a chance of snow in parts of the Northeast a few days before Christmas. That map is also included at the end of this story. However, from two weeks out...
There sometimes appears to be little rhyme or reason for the wild wings in computer model forecasts. But perhaps we can use rhyme to make a forecast for the next several days:
'Twas less than three weeks until Christmas eveAnd from storms this week we have a reprieveWe do face a morning of icy chillBut no new snow on the window sill.
The message today is the weather's not stoppingAnyone who has plans for shoppingOh, the mercury has dropped near December's floorBut next the cold air goes out the door.
Last night icy winds did come forthFrom the frozen lands of the arctic northBut aside from that the weather looks prettyNot til later will storms affect farmland and city.
During this weekend, the temperature will climb;Why that'll happen I explain in this rhymeThe wind in the southern Plains will be heading northeastAnd that's when our chill is reduced to the least.
But folks all know that we live in placesWhere breaks like these are merely oasesTurn the wind to the north: it quickly erasesAll hints of warmth, leaving no traces.
The only question is when next that will happenWhen the warmup leaves and the cold wind is snappin'Yes, when is that time of which I do speak?Cold could rush in by the middle of next week.
But what is the chance of a Christmas snow?That depends if a storm will showAnd it has to be cold, but this you knowWe'll keep you posted on any change in the flow.
So I better stop here if I have any brains'Cause I just ran out of poetic refrains.As you head out shopping, you won't have a flap;As long as you don't give gifts that are unwanted or inappropriate for the recipient.
GFS forecast for three days before Christmas
However, rainfall is increasing south of New England, and southerly flow aloft should bring rain to Providence, Boston and other parts of New England.
Early this morning, the most concentrated rain was falling in a band from Maryland to southern Michigan.
With a high pressure area over Maine, a low pressure area over western Indiana and an upper-air storm spinning over the western Great Lakes, the stage is set for wet weather in the Middle and North Atlantic states.
This map is a rainfall forecast from the NWS Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center located in State College, PA.
The upper-air flow forecast for this evening shows the trough that helps to support rainfall ahead of the cold front.
After reaching the 80s today from NYC to Boston, it might not be that warm again through much of next week.