AccuWeather's Joe Bastardi Forecasts Fewer U.S. Landfalls this Atlantic Hurricane Season

March 18, 2009; 3:04 PM
Share |

Fewer named storms than recent years may be welcome news, major landfalling hurricane is still possible.

STATE COLLEGE, Pa. March 18, 2009 - AccuWeather.com Chief Long-Range and Hurricane Forecaster Joe Bastardi has released an early hurricane season forecast for 2009 which calls for fewer landfalls in the United States as well as a lower overall number of named storms. However, storms may be more likely to form in the Atlantic Basin closer to the coast and the possibility of a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. cannot be ruled out.

"This year's forecast shows only half as many impacts on the United States as there were last year," Bastardi said. "But keep in mind, it only takes one major hurricane hitting a highly populated area to have devastating impact."

"Early indications show a reduction in the overall number of named storms and of major hurricanes in the Atlantic basin compared to last year, but the number of storms should still be near or a little above normal."

Bastardi points to several factors influencing the forecast, including:

- The weak La Niña in the Pacific Ocean will dissipate. A reverse to a weak El Niño, which is associated with decreased hurricane activity in the Atlantic, is most likely in the middle to latter part of the hurricane season.

- The expected orientation of high pressure in the eastern Atlantic will produce stronger easterly trade winds across northern Africa than last year. This will result in increased dust and dry air being pushed westward into the Atlantic where many tropical storms originate.

- Cooler water temperatures in the deep tropical Atlantic, a typical breeding ground for hurricanes, which can reduce hurricane activity and intensity. This may create a season in which storms are reaching a greater intensity further north and east than last year, leading to less impact in the Caribbean areas hit hard last year.

- A continuing multi-decadal pattern of higher-than-average water temperatures in the Atlantic, raising the chance of major storms near the East Coast until about 2020.

Based on these and other considerations, Bastardi has made the following specific forecasts for overall numbers and types of storms during the 2009 season.

Total storms 13

Hurricanes 8

Major hurricanes 2

Storms west of 55°W 10

Hurricanes 6-7

Major hurricanes 1-2

Storms that impact U.S. coast 4

Hurricanes 3

Major hurricanes 1

In addition to his forecasting work available on AccuWeather.com, Bastardi regularly writes for the AccuWeather.com Professional site, AccuWeather.com Energy Pro, and for private clients.

About AccuWeather, Inc. and AccuWeather.com

AccuWeather, The World's Weather Authority®, presents accurate, localized, branded forecasts and severe weather bulletins to over 110 million Americans each day via the Internet, mobile devices and IPTV, through the airwaves, in print and on digital signage. The 113 meteorologists at AccuWeather deliver a portfolio of customized products and services to media, business, government, and institutions, and inform millions of visitors worldwide through the free AccuWeather.com website. AccuWeather also provides content onto more than 250,000 third-party Internet sites, including CNN Interactive and ABC's owned and operated stations, The Washington Post and The New York Times. Visit www.AccuWeather.com for more information.

More Press Releases

  • AccuWeather Appoints Bill Boss as Director of Product Development, Display Systems and Services

    4/19/2016 2:39:24 PM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced it has appointed Bill Boss as Director of Product Development, Display Systems and Services. Reporting directly to Ryan Ayres, Vice President of Display Systems and Services, Bill brings 30 years of experience in the meteorological industry working in sales, marketing, product management, and executive roles in the U.S. and Asia-Pacific region. He has comprehensive product experience spanning multiple industry verticals including broadcast media, insurance, and aviation.

  • AccuWeather Debuts StormDirector+, All-New Weather System for Broadcasting, at 2016 National Association of Broadcasters Show

    4/19/2016 10:22:09 AM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, announces the launch of StormDirector+, the all-new weather system that provides the most interactive, customizable, and complete local weather presentations with Superior Accuracy to television stations. AccuWeather demonstrates StormDirector+ live at the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) Show through April 21, 2016 at the Las Vegas Convention Center in Las Vegas, NV – AccuWeather booth #SL6010.

  • AccuWeather Unveils New CampaignTrail Application for StoryTeller at 2016 National Association of Broadcasters Show

    4/18/2016 2:33:41 PM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, announces all-new CampaignTrail, the break-through election application now available f StoryTeller Interactive Touchscreen Solution, the only complete, interactive touchscreen solution for the entire news presentation. AccuWeather is demonstrating CampaignTrail live at the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) Show April 18-21, 2016 at the Las Vegas Convention Center in Las Vegas, NV – AccuWeather booth #SL6010.

  • AccuWeather Showcases Revolutionary New Innovations in StoryTeller Interactive Touchscreen Solution at NAB 2016

    4/18/2016 8:53:52 AM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced industry-leading innovations in StoryTeller® Interactive Touchscreen Solution, the only complete, interactive touchscreen solution for all aspects of the on-air presentation. AccuWeather will demonstrate these revolutionary advancements live at the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) Show today through April 21, 2016 at the Las Vegas Convention Center in Las Vegas, NV – AccuWeather booth #SL6010.

  • AccuWeather Launches Future Radar on Award-Winning iOS App

    4/15/2016 12:05:23 PM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced the launch of Future Radar available on its award-winning AccuWeather iOS app for U.S. users. AccuWeather’s Future Radar provides the most accurate, localized updates on the movement and path of storms in a highly engaging visual map view. iOS app users can now quickly and easily access detailed precipitation radar in the future to help them plan ahead and stay safe.

  • AccuWeather Launches Exclusive Day By Day 90-Day Forecast on AccuWeather.com, Helping People Plan Further in Advance than Ever Before

    4/11/2016 4:13:49 PM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced its launch of the Day By Day 90-Day Forecast now available on AccuWeather.com desktop and mobile websites, providing users with the most advanced notice and detailed information on local weather conditions. AccuWeather’s new industry-leading forecast provides 90 days of daily forecasts, a valuable tool for planning the best time of the season for road trips, vacations and outdoor activities, letting users follow the forecast and make more detailed plans as the date approaches.

  • Dr. Joel N. Myers to Deliver TEDxPenn Talk on His Entrepreneurial Success and Insights in Creating the Weather Industry

    4/7/2016 10:12:56 AM

    Dr. Joel N. Myers, Founder, President, and Chairman of AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, will speak at TEDxPenn2016 on Sunday, April 10, at the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg Center for the Performing Arts in Philadelphia. Myers, a Fellow of the American Meteorology Society who was named one of the greatest entrepreneurs in American history in Entrepreneur Magazine’s "Encyclopedia of Entrepreneurs" book, will share his personal “Eureka!” moment that pioneered the weather industry.

  • AccuWeather MinuteCast Available in All-New Garmin vivoactive HR Smartwatch

    2/23/2016 10:03:26 AM

    AccuWeather, the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced AccuWeather MinuteCast, which is currently available on Garmin devices such as the Forerunner and fenix running and training watches, is now available on the newly launched Garmin vivoactive® HR smartwatch. Through the Garmin Connect IQ app store, users can download MinuteCast and access AccuWeather’s minute-by-minute precipitation forecasts with Superior Accuracy.