Bastardi Says Snowy and Cold Winter for People from NYC to Charlotte

October 14, 2009; 3:33 PM
Share |

(State College, PA - October 14, 2009) - According to AccuWeather.com's Chief Meteorologist and Expert Long Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi, winter will be centered over an area from the Mid-Atlantic to the Carolinas as a fading El Nino results in the stormiest and coldest pattern in recent years.

Bastardi predicts the current El Nino will fade over the winter and will probably not have as much of a role in the overall weather pattern as one would think during a typical El Nino year. This fading El Nino pattern will lead to a stormier and colder winter in the southern and eastern United States. While the El Nino is fading this winter, other factors are pointing to a winter very similar to that of 2002-03.

A colder, snowier winter would mean an increase in energy bills, added snow removal efforts, more travel delays and extended school closures.

Northeast and Mid-Atlantic

The areas that will be hit hardest this winter by cold, snowy weather will be from New England through the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic, including North Carolina. Areas from New York City to Raleigh have gotten by the past two years with very little snowfall. This year these areas could end up with above-normal snowfall.

Areas from Buffalo to Boston, which have been hit hard the past couple of winters, will see normal snowfall with temperatures slightly below normal. Bastardi adds that while these areas will have a normal winter, it's the areas farther south that have escaped from the snow and cold the past couple of winters that will see the worse winter conditions in the form of snow and cold.

Cities such as New York, Boston and Philadelphia could see up to 75 percent of their total snowfall in two or three big storms.

While some parts of the Appalachians did have harsh winter weather in the form of ice last year, this winter could be one of the snowiest since 2002-03, when up to 80 inches fell in many places. Snowfall totals this year could reach between 50 and 100 inches.

Last winter, the usage of salt was way up because of the number of ice storms. Salt supplies could be compromised again this year for state and local road crews that battle the winter weather. On the other hand, ski resorts could have a great year with plenty of powder for skiers.

The storm track that could develop this year will bring storms into southern California, then across the South and up the Eastern Seaboard. That track will lead to the normal amount of Nor'easters from New Jersey to Cape Hatteras.

This type of storm track will differ from that of the past two years, when storms tended to take a track farther west from Texas into the Great Lakes. That track into the Great Lakes brought unseasonably mild weather to the major East Coast cities, keeping them on the more rainy side of the storms.

South

The track this year right along the Eastern Seaboard would put the major cities on the cold, wintry side of the storms. Areas form Atlanta to Charlotte could see several snowstorms this year, which is something that this region has not seen in a while.

The Interstate 20 corridor from Dallas to Atlanta is a strike zone for ice and snow, given the storm track and proximity to cold air. By the end of the winter, people from Dallas to the Carolinas could say "Wow, we have snow this year!" said Bastardi.

Midwest and Central Plains

The Midwest and central Plains could get a break this winter, given that past couple of winters have been cold and snowy. Places such as Chicago, Omaha, Minneapolis and Kansas City may have below-normal snowfall and could even average a bit milder than past years.

However, Oklahoma into Texas is where the cold will lead to ice and snow, and it is not out of the question that snow and ice are as far south as College Station and San Antonio, Tex.

West and Pacific Northwest

A warm and somewhat dry weather pattern is expected from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Plains. The typical barrage of winter storms that hit Seattle and Portland may not occur this winter and lead to below-normal precipitation. The core of the wet weather will be south of San Francisco into southern California and the Southwest. While some people across Southern California fear the El Nino will bring harsh storms to the region, the fading of the El Nino will lessen that risk and provide storms more capable of producing less intense rains that result in mudslides and flooding.

For example, Los Angeles could have 110 percent of normal rainfall and the Sierras and Southwest mountains will have the normal amount of snowfall which is good for skiers. The Olympics in Vancouver, British Columbia, from February 12 to 28 could be impacted by the lack of snow and cold weather this winter. It's not out of the question that a dry and mild pattern develops very near or during the time of the Olympics. A storm track into California and the Southwest means near-normal rainfall for Southern California.

About AccuWeather, Inc. and AccuWeather.com

AccuWeather, The World's Weather Authority®, presents accurate, localized, branded forecasts and severe weather bulletins to over 110 million Americans each day via the Internet, mobile devices and IPTV, through the airwaves, in print and on digital signage. The 113 meteorologists at AccuWeather deliver a portfolio of customized products and services to media, business, government, and institutions, and inform millions of visitors worldwide through the free AccuWeather.com website. AccuWeather also provides content onto more than 200,000 third-party Internet sites, including CNN Interactive and ABC's owned and operated stations, The Washington Post and The New York Times. Visit www.accuweather.com for more information.

More Press Releases

  • AccuWeather Announces Appointment of Edward Van Saders as Chief Financial Officer

    11/20/2014 3:11:44 PM

    AccuWeather, Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, announced today that the company's newly appointed Chief Financial Officer, Edward Van Saders, is a featured speaker at the “CFO Playbook for Private Companies Summit”. The theme of the summit "Strategies for a Profitable Future" is a perfect fit for Van Saders' presentation, 'The AccuWeather Forecast: Business & Weather".

  • AccuWeather App for Windows 8 Launches MinuteCast and Moves Toward Universal Windows App

    11/13/2014 10:11:06 AM

    AccuWeather, Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced it has launched an update to its AccuWeather for Windows 8 app to include the popular feature AccuWeather MinuteCast. MinuteCast is the only global minute-by-minute precipitation forecast for a person’s exact street address or GPS location. This patented forecast functionality was introduced to users of the AccuWeather app for Windows Phone in August 2014. With the Windows 8 app update, AccuWeather also further advances its goal to provide one universal app for Windows tablet, desktop, and phone users worldwide.

  • AccuWeather 45-Day Forecast Indicates a Chilly Christmas in Top Ten US Metro Areas

    11/11/2014 4:14:18 PM

    AccuWeather Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, is the only source for the unique 45-day Forecast which allows users to begin to monitor their local forecasts for Christmas starting today. The AccuWeather 45-Day Forecast goes beyond historical averages to give people detailed and localized forecasts reaching further than any other free weather source, all the way to the biggest holiday of the year.

  • AccuWeather Expands Facebook's Internet.org App, Supports Kenya Launch this Week

    11/11/2014 10:48:03 AM

    AccuWeather Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, is pleased to work with Internet.org, a Facebook-led initiative, as it expands accessible and affordable internet services to the people of Kenya. Free basic services through Facebook's Internet.org app will be available to Airtel customers in Kenya later this week.

  • AccuWeather MinuteCast Global Expansion Continues, Now Available in Seven Additional Countries

    11/6/2014 2:30:53 PM

    AccuWeather, Inc., the global leader in digital weather information, today announced that the innovative AccuWeather MinuteCast is now available on its website and mobile website in seven additional countries throughout Europe including France, Germany, Belgium, Switzerland, Netherlands, Luxembourg, and parts of the Czech Republic. In addition to the new global locations, AccuWeather MinuteCast continues to be available for people in locations across the contiguous United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Ireland, and Japan.

  • AccuWeather Further Strengthens Its Unique Weather Personalization and Targeting Capabilities for Digital Advertisers

    11/5/2014 12:03:36 PM

    AccuWeather Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, today announced their partnership with Lotame to deliver even more insights for advertisers and create personalized experiences for AccuWeather users on web and mobile web platforms. Their ability to provide more granular audience segmentation – including demographic and purchase intent data points – will enable advertisers to reach receptive audiences with relevant advertising, making AccuWeather ad experiences as personalized as their forecasts.

  • AccuWeather Collaborates with Facebook to Make Essential Weather Forecasts Available to Tanzania

    10/31/2014 3:59:42 PM

    AccuWeather Inc., the global leader in weather information and digital media, is pleased to work with Facebook’s Internet.org initiative to provide global weather forecasts and warnings with Superior Accuracy. Through the Internet.org app expansion, Tigo Tanzania subscribers will now have access to a suite of free services including weather, health, education, finance, jobs, communication, and local information.